Newly Released 2016 Precinct Election Map Stuns Democrats
It’s been over seven months since Donald Trump took the White House by storm, having won the 2016 Presidential election in bold fashion. The “surprise,” no doubt, upset the mainstream apple cart. Many Democrats huddled up and have since launched disastrous and at times, dangerous, revolts. Traditional Republicans in office have been hot and cold, depending on the direction the breeze has blown. And of course, there’s the saddening tale of the mainstream media who has remained awkwardly maladjusted.
But through all the violent protests and the fake news stories, one thing has remained true for those thinking in terms of real political strategy: The midterms are coming. Expectations have been high for Democrats (higher than I’d say they should be).
Let’s go back to 2010 when Obama’s midterm elections crumbled around his largely “world changing” election status. Obama was riding high, but the midterm elections provided a foundation for Republicans who gained 63 seats in the House. Additionally, Obama was faced with a new Tea party battle. In 2014, Republicans took the Senate for the first time since 2006.
It’s been common practice for midterm elections to swing the other way as a reaction to a Presidential win (some call it ‘balance,’ as opposed to ‘reaction’). So it would be logical and reasonable to assume that Trump Republican party is in a position of similar risk?
Well, there are a few indicators which speak otherwise.
First, a newly released precinct-by-precinct map shows the stunning dominance of Trump’s 2016 Presidential win. The areas whereas Democrats desperately need wins in midterms (Penn, Mich, Ohio, Florida) are covered in Republican red.
Another poor indicator for the Democratic party is that they remain entrenched in the same exact failed strategy which lost them the Presidency. The continuation of accusing all Trump voters of racism, misogyny, Islamophobia, homophobia and a variety of other inane labels has gained them little ground even in the face of Trump mistakes. The Democrats continue to only appeal to a small extremist base in California and New York, leaving the rest of the country hanging. And it doesn’t appear that the Democrats have an electable candidate in the wings.
Here are the numbers for midterms: All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 33 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested. 39 state and territorial governorships and numerous other state and local elections will also be contested.
The new precinct-by-precinct mapping sure makes the Democrats position seem relatively weak.
Endless Investigations To Democrat Detriment
Another bewildering issue is the Russian vote hacking narrative that continues to be a core component of the Democratic reelection strategy. Most Americans have moved on from this issue, including the ones who might not be overly fond of Trump. Though, the mainstream media won’t give up pushing polls showing “most Americans think Trump acted illegally.” A new NPR Poll asserts just that.
Of course, staunch Democrats voting in a poll they found on the Liberal stronghold, NPR will return numbers edging a favorable Democratic narrative. However, considering the base of the numbers, they also show that the markers needed to move for Democrats to reassume power aren’t moving.
The question now becomes if the Democrats can get their act together prior to midterms. Strategically speaking, the House and Senate are very winnable for Democrats pending they change up their strategy. But they’ve shown a complete unwillingness to appeal to middle America. And they’ve maintained a position to focus on negative narratives rather than potential changes they could make to improve the lives of those who feel forgotten.
I’m not one who thinks power should be weighted heavily in favor of either party. Being Libertarian, the Democratic strategy also concerns me in the way that it may yield extraordinary power to Republicans. Republicans finally figured out a way to “use” Trump to advance their agendas. They went kicking and screaming, but in the end, they went. Democrats haven’t figured out the game and continue to lose pieces that help put the puzzle together.
Photo by Michael Vadon
Author: Jim Satney
PrepForThat’s Editor and lead writer for political, survival, and weather categories.
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