China And India Show Indications That War Is Starting
China and India are once again, having a troubling time playing nice together. Only this time, the situation has escalated beyond the usual banter and into the realm of real live fire. Chinese military live fire drills have been reported on the India border, which is a much-disputed mass of land between the two rival countries, and some are reporting massive casualties of Indian military personnel. But everyone’s denying that, of course. You may not need that bug out bag if you live in the United States just yet, however, this instability remains a warning that we should all heed.
Last month, the Chinese Communist party accused India’s military of venturing over the Sikkim border. China’s media outlet, the Global Times, published rhetoric claiming that China was prepared and ready to go to war with India over the disputed land. Both China and India realize the large scale economic and political ramifications to controlling the disputed land mass. China is now threatening to line the border with troops.
“China doesn’t recognize the land under the actual control of India is Indian territory. Bilateral border negotiations are still ongoing, but the atmosphere for negotiations has been poisoned by India,” Global Times’ op-ed read.
“China doesn’t advocate and tries hard to avoid a military clash with India, but China doesn’t fear going to war to safeguard sovereignty either, and will make itself ready for a long-term confrontation.”
The last time the Sino-India border was contested through warfare was in 1962, that led to the deaths of 2,000 people (most heavily on India’s side). The recent border crossing by Indian troops has renewed that animosity and clearly raised violent tensions on both sides.
India claims that China’s expanding presence nearing the border has compromised their own country’s safety and security. And neither country seems enticed by any semblance of negotiation. In fact, they are both standing strong, which is why many now believe war is imminent in the region.
India denies the recent reports of an engagement. “Such reports are utterly baseless, malicious and mischievous. No cognizance should be taken of them by responsible media,” Ministry of Indian External Affairs Ministry spokesperson Gopal Baglay said, according to The Economic Times of India.
A war between these two opposing nuclear powers would have a clear worldwide effect. China is the second most powerful country on earth, a country poised to make a run at the top spot, most widely viewed as being held by the United States. India, on the other hand, is a massive scale, nuclear-powered country that would be able to sustain a massive casualty count for years. We are talking about 2.6 billion people between the two countries. A war between both of these countries would be massive-scale.
The good news is, both countries have a “no first use” policy in regards to their nuclear weapons. But war is chaos, by some respects, so the nuclear option concern would remain realistic in any case. This is a war that would involve connected land masses and seas, as well as air space. Most believe a great portion of this war would be fought using air space, but India would have a distinct advantage from the sea. Land or “boots on the ground” would be limited due to boundaries of other countries who wouldn’t likely harbor engagement from either side.
China would likely use aerial firepower with ballistic missiles from home bases, avoiding conflicts over the air whereas India might have advantages.
India, oddly, has more advantages than many world powers might be giving them. And this could serve as hesitation on the part of China who wouldn’t want to have any military weaknesses exposed. New Delhi is a mere 200 miles away from Tibet’s land region. That gives them regional aircraft advantages, even if Pakistan were to get involved.
The surrounding terrain is incredibly rugged and would likely cut down on military strategies involving the ground by either side.
The hope, of course, is that tensions cool down and war of any sort is averted. War in the region would cause the already heightened global tensions to worsen. And it would likely inspire more instability in other regions, particularly in ISIS controlled regions that would thrive on disharmony of super powers.
Author: Jim Satney
PrepForThat’s Editor and lead writer for political, survival, and weather categories.
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