New England Journal of Medicine Downplays Coronavirus, ‘MORE AKIN TO SEASONAL FLU’
Coronavirus fears continue to rise as health officials in the United States begin reporting new cases. Many are on edge as to whether or not coronavirus is the next devastating pandemic. However, a new report by the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine claims that coronavirus may be no worse than severe seasonal influenza, at least in terms of mortality rates. Additionally, they give credit to U.S. travel restrictions on China, a Trump administration maneuver.
If true, the findings could make the media’s hysterical responses feel entirely underwhelming. Additionally, Democrats who have already begun the process of blaming the Trump White House for an illness that’s barely reached the U.S. shores might be staring down yet another major flop.
Leveraging analysis of all the available data from the China coronavirus outbreak, the authors of the study say that the overall mortality rate may end up falling below the 1% mark. Additionally, no children under the age of 15 have died from the virus.
In fact, the persons who have died have been elderly or suffering from other ailments.
They say the data shows that only one in six cases display severe symptoms. And inevitably, coronavirus doesn’t compare to past respiratory illnesses.
[T]he overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.
Most people do recover. Those who are hospitalized average a stay of 12 days.
That said, coronavirus is a beast in terms of contagion status. It spreads like wildfire. So it’s possible that infection rates could balloon to historic numbers, however, the available data states that this illness would line up with the regular, yet severe, flu.
As a side note, the authors say that Trump’s China travel restrictions have “helped slow the spread of the virus.”
To be clear, this doesn’t mean it’s a good idea to take a pass on that pandemic survival kit, or your SHTF plan. Because the real threat in this coronavirus saga just may be the opening for government overreach. Look at Milan, a modern, sophisticated western city, under mandatory quarantines. The streets are empty and people are miserable while trapped in their homes. Do not for a second think this couldn’t happen in the United States, even if it turns out that coronavirus is a nothing burger. Government officials would be quick to make it appear “they are doing something” and other officials might see the opportunity in taking martial law control over citizens. Always be prepared.
Author: Jim Satney
PrepForThat’s Editor and lead writer for political, survival, and weather categories.
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